CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:

- The Storm Surge Watch has been upgraded to a Storm Surge Warning and the Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm Warning for Hancock, Harrison

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours

A Tropical Storm Warning means tropical storm-force winds are expected somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

- Gulfport

- Biloxi

- Pass Christian

* WIND

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Tropical storm force winds remain possible

- Peak Wind Forecast: 25-35 mph with gusts to 55 mph

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39 to 57 mph

- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment.

- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm force.

- PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.

- ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind becomes hazardous.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.

- A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

- Scattered power and communications outages.

* STORM SURGE

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible

- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 3-5 feet above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

- Window of concern: early Sunday morning until Monday evening

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground

- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment.

- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of greater than 3 feet above ground.

- PREPARE: Evacuation efforts and flood preparations should soon be brought to completion before conditions become unsafe.

- ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or needlessly risk lives.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

- Areas of inundation from storm surge flooding. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.

- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low spots.

- Major beach erosion. Strong and numerous rip currents.

- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in unprotected anchorages.

* FLOODING RAIN

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flood Watch is in effect

- Peak Rainfall Amounts: 6-10 inches, with locally higher amounts

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for moderate flooding rain

- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment.

- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are possible.

- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding.

- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take action may result in serious injury or loss of life.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and rescues.

- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, bayous, and ditches overflow.

- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

* TORNADO

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

- Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few tornadoes

- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment.

- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a few tornadoes.

- PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather arrives.

- ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions.

- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.

* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

- http://www.msema.org

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